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FSN Workshop – March 25

Foresight Synergy Network Workshop

Part 2: Impact of Advanced Information & Communications Technologies on the

Governance of the State

Monday March 25, 2019

11:30 – 15:00

University of Ottawa

Telfer School of Management

Desmarais Building Room 7170

55 Laurier Ave E

 

Abstract

At the 1st Workshop on this topic, held March 18th, participants asked to continue with a follow-on Workshop to further the development of scenarios, hence this date and time as the earliest available and current with the recent discussion.  For further information see Workshop Notice below for March 18th.

As noted in the previous Workshop, democracy is under threat.  Fake news and alternative facts are increasingly penetrating the public commons.  Autocratic states are using advanced ICTs to monitor citizens in unprecedented ways.  Cyberspace is becoming an environment for nefarious actions by both state and non-state actors seeking many conflicting objectives ranging from eavesdropping and espionage to influencing public processes such as elections.

This workshop will further develop the prescient views from participants as to this unfolding drama that is sweeping the world.  We look out in three timeframes between now and 2100.

Note that anyone interested in Foresight can join in this 2nd workshop without a requirement to have been at the 1st event as this gathering is simply continuing with using Foresight to develop scenarios in timeframes that have not been addressed yet.

There will be a plenary session with each group presenting its views as per the format prescribed for the Workshop.  A follow-up Workshop will be held within a month or so to review and refine the scenarios with a view to crafting a document for wider circulation.

The Workshop will be facilitated by Stephen Fanjoy and Peter MacKinnon, as in the last event.

Please note, feel free to bring a brown bag lunch.

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FSN Workshop – March 18

Update: Here are the slides:

PKM AI Summary Presentation for March 18th Workshop – as presented1

Impact of Advanced Information & Communications Technologies on the Governance of the State v2

 


Foresight Synergy Network Workshop

Impact of Advanced Information & Communications Technologies 

On the Governance of the State

Monday March 18, 2019

12:00 – 17:00

University of Ottawa
Telfer School of Management
 Desmarais Building Room 4165
55 Laurier Ave E

 

Abstract

Democracy is under threat.  Fake news and alternative facts are increasingly penetrating the public commons.  Autocratic states are using advanced ICTs to monitor citizens in unprecedented ways.  Cyberspace is becoming an environment for nefarious actions by both state and non-state actors seeking many conflicting objectives ranging from eavesdropping and espionage to influencing public processes such as elections.

This workshop seeks to capture prescient views from participants as to this unfolding drama that is sweeping the world.  We will look out in three timeframes between now and 2100.

This workshop is a consequence of two past Foresight seminars, namely Technology & Democracy November 23rd and The History & Foreseeable Future of Artificial Intelligence: Opportunities & Threats on December 14th, which both raised issues that led to staging this Workshop.

The workshop will begin with a brief overview of the issue to be addressed.  This will be followed by a discussion about the structure and procedures for the Workshop such as working groups and selection of rapporteurs for a plenary session.

As the workshop will be based on a Foresight Methodology perspective, challenge questions will be posed along with suggested axes for developing a quadrant-type synthesis of working group views.  Following working group deliberations there will be a plenary session with each group presenting its views as per the format prescribed for the Workshop.  A follow-up Workshop will be held within a month or so to review and refine the scenarios with a view to crafting a document for wider circulation.

The Workshop will be facilitated by Stephen Fanjoy and Peter MacKinnon, the Nov and Dec speakers noted above.

Bios

Stephen Fanjoy is a management consultant, director, and interim executive to start-up entrepreneurs, specializing in business software, including significant experience in novel cybersecurity, medical device and data science solutions.

Steve has over two decades of experience in enterprise software, including executive and senior management roles in strategy, product management, marketing, analyst relations, business development, and mergers and acquisitions. He is an honours graduate of the Dalhousie University School of Business and a Certified Management Consultant (CMC). https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephenfanjoy/

Peter MacKinnon has a background as a scientist, business manager, entrepreneur, domestic and international bureaucrat, executive, diplomat, management advisor, and academic; including affiliation with both Telfer and the Faculty of Engineering at the University of Ottawa.

He is a pioneer in the commercialization of AI and today is actively involved in ethical and policy issues related to AI.  He has an extensive background on the forefront of scientific and technological breakthroughs around disruptive technologies and their impacts on society.
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Feb 25 – Jack E. Smith

Update 2: Rescheduled to Monday Feb 25, 11:30 am in Room DMS 4165 or 7170 @ 55 Laurier  Ave,  East Ottawa.

Update: Wednesday, 13th February Foresight Seminar Canceled due to Weather.  Check the website for the rescheduled date.  Email list members will receive notice of the new date when it is available.

The next FSN meeting is Wednesday Feb 13 [DMS 4165  at 12:30], where Jack Smith will be presenting a talk on following topic:
Jack Smith on the 50 years  +  HISTORY OF CANADIAN PUBLIC FORESIGHT
Abstract

Join Jack E. Smith, an adjunct emeritus professor at the University of Ottawa and the CEO of TFCI Canada Inc. as he kickstarts the winter program of the FSN for 2019       Hindsight on Foresight. Jack will bring an overview of foresight practices in Canada and a summary of the evolutionary development of Canadian public foresight since 1966. During the 5 decades, a broad definition of foresight has been adopted to ensure an inclusive approach to organizations involved in public foresight–including research oriented toward shaping the future of foresight – a least in Canada.

About Jack E. Smith

Jack E. Smith is a graduate of Cornell  and  Queen’s universities. Following a 30 year career in the federal Public Service,  he became an Adjunct Professor at the Telfer School of Management, University of Ottawa in 2007. Mr. Smith currently is Chair of the Foresight Synergy Network (FSN) of Canada, and President of  TFCI Canada Inc.  He  also has been a member of the International Advisory Board for the APEC Center for Technology Foresight in Bangkok and a member of the Technical Committee for the European Commission’s Future Technology Assessment Conference .
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Dec 14 – Peter MacKinnon

Update: Presentation deck – The History and Future of Artificial Intelligence – Opportunities and Threats Final. Thanks Peter for interesting presentation.
——————————————————————————————————————————
Foresight Synergy Network Seminar
 
December 14, 2018: 12:30 – 15:30
Telfer School of Management, University of Ottawa, Desmarais Building Room 4165
The History & Foreseeable Future of Artificial Intelligence: Opportunities & Threats  
By
Peter MacKinnon
Managing Director
Synergy Technology Management
Ottawa, Canada
Abstract
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has skyrocketed into the news in recent months with stories of promise and  threat for good and bad.  Political leaders have delared it a national priority, the global high tech industry is racing AI apps to markets and governance and policy implications of AI are in their infancy.
We will begin with some definitions and a bit of history behind the rise of AI. The talk will then focus on the impact of disruptive technologies on society both from an historical perspective and from a foresight perspective; including where current disruptive technologies could lead in the coming decades.  AI is an example of a disruptive technology.
Today, AI is such a ‘hot topic’ that even political leadership in many countries talk up the benefits of AI while pouring money into AI research and commercialization opportunities.  We will briefly look at the emerging AI market with respect to scale, offerings and expectations resulting from all the ‘hot topic’ activities.
The notion of an ‘AI race’ and its possible future scenarios will be considered in respect to developments such as autonomous decision making, which in the end demands the establishment of appropriate ethical choices as prerequisites for prevention and management of rouge situations.
This will lead to a discussion about ethics and moral issues regarding the development and use of aspects of AI as a duel-use technology.  The role of AI in defence and security will be used as a nexus for appreciating the complexity and ethical issues brought on by AI.
Finally, we will review potential governance and policy issues and options to address the rapid unckecked development and application of AI within society at large.
Biography
The speaker is a pioneer in the commercialization of AI and today is actively involved in ethical and policy issues related to AI.  He has an extensive background on the forefront of scientific and technological breakthroughs around disruptive technologies and their impacts on society.  He was an early proponent in the promotion of Big Data analytics using High Performance Computers, and was a major contributor in creating the Internet in Canada, among other accomplishments.
Peter has a background as a scientist, business manager, entrepreneur, domestic and international bureaucrat, executive, diplomat, management advisor, and academic; including affiliation with both Telfer and the Faculty of Engineering at the University of Ottawa.
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Nov. 23 – Stephen Fanjoy

Update: Here is the presentation Technology and Democracy 2018.11.23


The next FSN meeting is Friday Nov. 23 [DMS 4165  at 12:30], where Stephan Fanjoy will be presenting a talk on following topic:

Technology and Democracy: Self-correcting or Collision Course?
Communication and information technology has always played a role in politics, from the era of the first printed words, to religious texts, the Gutenberg press, newspapers, the telegraph, radio, television and, of course now, the internet. Until very recently, the normative view was that these technologies were a constructive, humanistic force that generally helped to achieve, among other things, more just, functional, rational and accountable political governance. This view was held no more firmly than in democratic states, especially during the Cold War era through to the early years of mass internet adoption. But almost all technologies have dual uses and, compared to authoritarian governance, democracy is a historically young, incomplete, and fragile human institution.The technology developments of the last half decade and a critical appreciation of the information operations, propaganda, and psychology of the last century suggest much future uncertainty about the role that technology may continue to play in advancing democracy. This overview will raise many questions, answer too few, but should stimulate much discussion and thought.
 
Stephen Fanjoy is a management consultant, director, and interim executive to startup entrepreneurs, specializing in business software, including significant experience in novel cybersecurity, medical device and data science solutions. To-date, Stephen has played a leading role in securing over $10 million in angel and non-dilutive startup financing and over $50 million in premium-valuation founder exits. Stephen has over two decades of experience in enterprise software, including executive and senior management roles in strategy, product management, marketing, analyst relations, business development, and mergers and acquisitions at SHL VISION* Solutions (acquired by Autodesk), Oracle, and  Watchfire (acquired by IBM). Stephen was also a founding Director of the Ontario Bioscience Innovation Organizations (OBIO), former Co-Chair of the Ottawa Life Sciences Cluster, Chair of the Ottawa eBusiness Cluster and Director of the Institute of Certified Management Consultants of Ontario. Stephen is an honours graduate of the Dalhousie University School of Business and a Certified Management Consultant (CMC). https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephenfanjoy/
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Sept. 20 – Alan Emery

Update: The following link is to a video reconstruction of Dr. Emery’s Foresight Seminar on 25 May 2018 at uOttawa on climate change (see website for Abstract).  This video will serve as a backgrounder to the Sept 20th Workshop and will be useful for those who were not able to attend the May seminar.  Here is the link: 


https://vimeo.com/287912063


Abstract for Workshop Planning the Survival of Canadian Society in the Context of a Rapidly Warming World Workshop Sept 20th, Room 7170 – 1 to 5 pm.

Dr. Alan Emery [link to bio] will facilitate the workshop.

 

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July 20 – Ed Bernacki

Next FSN meeting is on July 20 [12:00 – 3:30 pm, Room 4165 at Telfer School of Management] by Ed Bernacki.
 
The Idea Factory Challenge by Ed Bernacki
A challenge for the Foresight Group is to find a way to engage with interesting problems to solve in Ottawa. This prompted a bigger issue that I would like to explore. It is obvious that the Foresight Group has vast expertise and experience.  For several years I have wondered about the need for a social innovation to harness the expertise and knowledge of people from 50 to 75 years of age. They are experts in many fields. How can this be harnessed and focused on solving the current and future challenges of society?
What if the expertise of 20 Foresight people could be harnessed? What could this look like?
What if the expertise of 200,000 people could be harnessed? What could this look like?
 
This session is a short presentation to explore this problem and then an idea factory to get your ideas to explore how a new idea could shape a social innovation in society.
There could be a tremendous opportunity for the Foresight Group to shape a national organization.
 I drafted a background document to prompt your thinking on this challenge. See attached. 
 
Ed Bernacki has spent much of the past 28 years working and moving between New Zealand, Australia and Canada, where he worked on numerous innovation projects. His particular expertise is service and public service innovation. He is highly published overseas and authored several books. 
He also invented a new type of notebook / idea journal to replace the standard notebook used in many settings.  MBA students in September at Telfer will his new analogue innovation – a Student Navigator Notebook.