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FSN Seminar – October 4

FSN Seminar – OCT 4 2019 [1330-1600] – DMS [link to map] Room 7170

Foresight Methods: Probing Policy Uncertainties Through Scenarios

ABSTRACT: Drawing on his extensive experience with scenarios,  Mr. Smith will present a brief overview of 12+ foresight methods and then examine several ways of constructing scenarios  –  e. g.

  1. double axial, (also known as archetypal or classic)
  2. triple axial or pyramidal:,
  3. cube design or quartro axial;
  4. Modified cube or multimodal (> 4 axes ) or Protean multi-factor analytical
  5. Thematic generic; timeless or urgent; with or without add-on factors
  6. Normative or ranked by participants for preference, expectation; probability; practicality or plausibility;.
  7. Three Horizons; #1 the present; #3 the prospective future and #2 the diverse ways going forward in time ( e.g. actions, investments, inventions, innovations, events etc.) that  can help realize the vision described by the 3rd
  8. Wildcards e. g. How many to include; what guidance is required; and what about black swans, elephants and cobras?

Finally, the discussion should pursue the question of how should uncertainty in policy outcomes be elicited, structured; evaluated and captured, by foresight facilitators, practitioners and sponsors.

BIO: JS Bio Oct 2019

Slides: JS Oct 4-2019 Focus on Scenarios Introduction to Foresight

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FSN Seminar – July 5

Update – Presentation slides are here:FSN Ottawa July 5 2019

Fri July 5th @1430-1630, DMS 7170

Please note: This event is receiving lots of interest in various groups, please RSVP so we are able to gauge room size.

Dr. Miller is UNESCO’s head of foreign literacy and one of the world’s leading strategic foresight designers and practitioners . Mr. Miller will be talking to us about key insights in foresight literacy from his latest book “Transforming the future: Anticipation in the 21st century,” which is available for free download.

Bio: For over thirty years Riel Miller has been pioneering advances in the theory & practice of using the future as a means to improve management & public policy, with a focus on transformational leadership. He has designed & implemented hundreds of projects worldwide, using the future in order to change what people see and do. He is an experienced & innovative educator, a pioneer of Futures Literacy & the Discipline of Anticipation. He is widely published in academic journals & other media on a range of topics, from the future of education & the Internet to the transformation of leadership & productivity. He is an accomplished keynote speaker & facilitator. His unflagging ambition is to find ways to put the richness of complex emergence at the service of humanity’s capacity to be free. He has given his foresight literacy program to Presidents and Prime Ministers, CEO’s, senior executives in industry and government, practitioners, teachers.

Source – https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Riel_Miller2

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FSN Seminar – June 27 – RESCHEDULED!

Please note: This event is cancelled till august or in the fall, we will use this space for FSN Fall general planning meeting.


Thur June 27th at 1300-1600  room DMS 7170

Dr. Christopher Cooper; CEO of Tech Forward; an innovative nanotechnology research and eco-products company; currently based in Phoenix * will describe his 20 year journey in developing superior water treatment systems using carbon  nanotubes ;  Chris also plans to demonstrate a scaled-down version of the technology using a variety of local tap and waste water sources 

*Dr. Cooper is in Ottawa as part of a strategic assessment tour of 10 Canadian cities located in 4 Provinces;  This tour is being organized by TFCI Canada in order to explore the diverse situations  and appreciate the nano-infrastructural assets and the industrial development potentials of the10 9 cities;    and also to support TECH FORWARD in its strategic objective to select one or more of the 10  cities as a base for developing Canadian operations.

Reception & Networking Event:

Also note that   from 1630-1930;  on June 27th; the FSN ;  TFCI Canada and  Dr Cooper’s company Tech Forward will host a by invitation Reception & Networking Event for government and university research and innovation leaders in room DMS  4101.

The Reception will feature a selection of regional craft beers and Niagara wines available for comparative tasting and sale; Admission is free; but pre-registration by June 26th is required using  thte ticket system. FSN members and participants are encouraged and welcome to attend. To receive an invitation please send your request to smithjack57@GMAIL.C0M;  by June 26th.

 

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FSN Seminar – June 14

Update – here are the slides – Ottawa 14 June 2019

Dr. David Harries:  Much Ado, About Nothing that is not Relevant for the Future

Time & Location: June 14, 1 pm at DMS 4165.

Abstract

At two recent , by-invitation, international events, whether or not ‘the world is going to hell in a handbasket’ was of less concern than that no one is in charge and, worse, that appropriate ‘leading’ is unlikely to appear soon enough because the reasons for its absence are too little seen, too little heard and too little spoken of.

David Harries will share what he saw, heard and spoke of at and since the EuroPugwash meeting in Bristol (28 Feb-1 Mar) and the Seventh Baku Global Forum (13-17 Mar) that seem to most need acknowledgement to enable progress in arresting threats to and identifying opportunities for human and planetary well-being.

Bio

A Canadian citizen since birth, he has lived in 20 countries and paid between 1 and 20 working visits to another 93. After education as a nuclear engineer, he has worked in the public and private sectors as a senior military officer, as a consultant on personal and corporate security, and as a senior advisor and professor in heavy engineering, national development, humanitarian aid, post-conflict and post-disaster response and recovery, executive development in strategic foresight, and post-graduate university education.

Based in Kingston Ontario, he does research, facilitation and application of strategic foresight focusing on the five security domains and their connections, and on comparative civil military relations, indigenous women entrepreneurship, leadership, and on human security engineering in support of societal resilience.

Current major associations

–        Member: Canadian Pugwash

–        Associate Executive Director of Foresight Canada

–        Fellow: World Academy of Art and Science

–        President: Proteus Canada

–        Director: Foresight operations at IdeaConnector.net

–        Assistant Coach of the RMC Men’s Varsity Rugby Team.

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FSN Spring Schedule 2019

When WHAT Where
1.     Thur June 6th @1300-1600   To be rescheduled Dr. Derek Ireland  Development Choices for Nepal; a Wicked Problem;  and a Foresight Challenge  DMS 4165
2.     Fri  June  14th

@1300-1600

Dr. David Harries:  Surprises From The Beyond With Signals For The Future  DMS 4165
3.     Thur  June 20th 

@1300-1600

available for the democracy scenArIOs ComplETION woRkshop  DMS 7170
4.     Fri June 21st 

@1200-1600

Gary Klein on Creating Sustainable Energy Efficient; Low Carbon  Futures    The  California Energy Future Vision   DMS 7170

DMS 4165

5.     Thur June 27th          

@1300-1600

This event is cancelled till august or in the fall, we will use this space for FSN Fall general planning meeting.

Dr. Christopher Cooper; CEO of Tech Forward; an innovative nanotechnology research and eco-products company; currently based in Phoenix *   will describe his 20 year journey in developing superior water treatment systems using carbon  nanotubes ;  Chris also plans to demonstrate a scaled-down version of the technology using a variety of local tap and waste water sources

 

*Dr. Cooper is in Ottawa as part of a strategic assessment tour of 10 Canadian cities located in 4 Provinces;  This tour is being organized by TFCI Canada in order to explore the diverse situations  and appreciate the nano-infrastructural assets and the industrial development potentials of the10 9 cities;    and also to support TECH FORWARD in its strategic objective to select one or more of the 10  cities as a base for developing Canadian operations.

 DMS 7170
6.     Fri July 5th

@1430-1630

Riel Miller, Head of Foresight Literacy for UNESCO will talk to us about his work in foresight literacy and his recent book Transforming the Future

 

DMS  7170
Reception & Networking Event

Also note that   from 1630-1930;  on June 27th; the FSN ;  TFCI Canada and  Dr Cooper’s company Tech Forward will host a by invitation Reception & Networking Event for government and university research and innovation leaders in room DMS  4101.

The Reception will feature a selection of regional craft beers and Niagara wines available for comparative tasting and sale;

Admission is free; but pre-registration by June 26th is required using  thte ticket system.

FSN members and participants are encouraged and welcome to attend.

To receive an invitation please send your request to smithjack57@GMAIL.C0M;  by June 26th.

 

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FSN Seminar – May 24

Blockchain (DLTs) and the Golden Ratio of Sustainable Development
by Gregory Sandstorm
 
Time and Location: May 24, DMS 7170 1- 4 pm 
 
Abstract:
While the number of blockchains (distributed ledgers) continues to grow, general and specific social applications of this new technology are still in their infancy. This presentation will briefly consider the background growth of ICTs in society. It introduces blockchain technology through an overview of current definitions and timelines already created by multiple authors. It then turns to the theoretical and practical applications of blockchain as an example of ‘digital extension services,’ drawing on the historical agricultural and educational extension movement from the 1860s at Oxford and Cambridge Universities. The aim is to elaborate and in some ways anticipate the forms, functions & prospective impacts of blockchain as it starts to transform infrastructures. The talk will also introduce Arena Blockchain, a local Ottawa company building an educational trust blockchain network. The overarching theme will explore the possibility of a seeking to build ‘golden ratio’ of sustainable development using decentralized systems for this purpose.
Bio:
Co-Founder & CEO of Arena Blockchain, an event engagement, consensus-building and problem-solving platform. Co-Host of Hyperledger Ottawa. Former Director of Blockchain Innovation at 360ed in Yangon, Myanmar. Author of more than 50 publications translated into 4 languages and speaker at more than 70 international conferences in 14 countries. Former associate professor of mass media and communications, social and political sciences at the (Belarus) exiled European Humanities University in Vilnius, Lithuania and affiliated associated professor at the Social Innovations Laboratory at Mykolas Romeris University. PhD (Candidate of Science) from St. Petersburg State University, dissertation defended at the Sociological Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, St. Petersburg. Former postdoctoral research fellow at the Lithuanian Science Council and Autonomous National University of Mexico’s Institute for Applied Mathematics and Systems. Guest scholar at University of Cambridge, University of Edinburgh, Virginia Tech University and the Copernicus Center for Interdisciplinary Studies. Promoter and builder of blockchain distributed ledger technology as digital extension services.
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FSN Workshop – May 31

Foresight Synergy Network Workshop Part 3 of 3: Impact of Advanced Information & Communications Technologies on the Governance of the State

 

Friday, May 31, 2019

1:00 – 4:00 pm

University of Ottawa

Telfer School of Management

Desmarais Building Room 7170

55 Laurier Ave E

Abstract

 At the 1st and 2nd Workshops on this topic, held March 18th and March 25th, participants developed a total of nine Foresight based scenarios over the specified timeframes, namely the Present to 2030, 2030 – 2050, 2050 – 2100, resulting in three scenarios for each.  
 
Based on a ‘working document about the scenarios’, which will be available [update – 3rd Workshop Guide on Advanced IT Implications to the Governance of the State v5 with biblio] a few days before the Workshop.  The first objective of this Workshop will be to examine the noted scenarios with a view to prioritizing each scenario through the collective views of the participants. The the second objective will be to hone the scenarios down to one for each timeframe.
 
As noted in the previous Workshops, democracy is under threat and information and communications technologies (ICT) are increasingly its advisaries the weapon of choice. Fake news and alternative facts are increasingly penetrating the public commons.  Autocratic states are using advanced ICTs to monitor citizens in unprecedented ways.  Cyberspace is becoming an environment for nefarious actions by both state and non-state actors seeking many conflicting objectives ranging from eavesdropping and espionage to influencing public processes such as elections and referanda.
The final goal will be a report built on the input document that will incorporate the output of this Workshop and follow-up consultations with participants.
 
Bios
Stephen Fanjoy is a management consultant, director, and interim executive to start-up entrepreneurs, specializing in business software, including significant experience in novel cybersecurity, medical device and data science solutions.
Steve has over two decades of experience in enterprise software, including executive and senior management roles in strategy, product management, marketing, analyst relations, business development, and mergers and acquisitions. He is an honours graduate of the Dalhousie University School of Business and a Certified Management Consultant (CMC). https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephenfanjoy/
 
Peter MacKinnon has a background as a scientist, business manager, entrepreneur, domestic and international bureaucrat, executive, diplomat, management advisor, and academic; including affiliation with both Telfer and the Faculty of Engineering at the University of Ottawa.
He is a pioneer in the commercialization of AI and today is actively involved in ethical and policy issues related to AI.  He has an extensive background on the forefront of scientific and technological breakthroughs around disruptive technologies and their impacts on society. https://www.linkedin.com/in/peter-mackinnon-ba88682a/
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FSN Workshop – April 18

Please note: April 18 work shop by Dr. Chris Cooper has been postponed to future date that is to be determined.


Dr. Chris Cooper, CEO of  Tech Forward a  US Nanotech company currently planning  a move to Canada will describe his research with using carbon nanotubes to cleanse polluted  water supplies.

DMS 4165  @ 55 Laurier  Ave,  East Ottawa

 

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FSN Workshop – March 25

Foresight Synergy Network Workshop

Part 2: Impact of Advanced Information & Communications Technologies on the

Governance of the State

Monday March 25, 2019

11:30 – 15:00

University of Ottawa

Telfer School of Management

Desmarais Building Room 7170

55 Laurier Ave E

 

Abstract

At the 1st Workshop on this topic, held March 18th, participants asked to continue with a follow-on Workshop to further the development of scenarios, hence this date and time as the earliest available and current with the recent discussion.  For further information see Workshop Notice below for March 18th.

As noted in the previous Workshop, democracy is under threat.  Fake news and alternative facts are increasingly penetrating the public commons.  Autocratic states are using advanced ICTs to monitor citizens in unprecedented ways.  Cyberspace is becoming an environment for nefarious actions by both state and non-state actors seeking many conflicting objectives ranging from eavesdropping and espionage to influencing public processes such as elections.

This workshop will further develop the prescient views from participants as to this unfolding drama that is sweeping the world.  We look out in three timeframes between now and 2100.

Note that anyone interested in Foresight can join in this 2nd workshop without a requirement to have been at the 1st event as this gathering is simply continuing with using Foresight to develop scenarios in timeframes that have not been addressed yet.

There will be a plenary session with each group presenting its views as per the format prescribed for the Workshop.  A follow-up Workshop will be held within a month or so to review and refine the scenarios with a view to crafting a document for wider circulation.

The Workshop will be facilitated by Stephen Fanjoy and Peter MacKinnon, as in the last event.

Please note, feel free to bring a brown bag lunch.